Qualcomm (QCOM) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

QCOM earnings call for the period ending March 31, 2024.

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Qualcomm (QCOM -1.05%)
Q2 2024 Earnings Call
May 01, 2024, 4:45 p.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Qualcomm second quarter fiscal 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we’ll conduct a question-and-answer session.

[Operator instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, May 1st, 2024. The playback number for today’s call is 877-660-6853. International callers, please dial 201-612-7415. The playback reservation number is 13745532.

I would now like to turn the call over to Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, vice president of investor relations. Mr. Lopez-Hodoyan, please go ahead.

Mauricio Lopez-HodoyanVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Today’s call will include prepared remarks by Cristiano Amon and Akash Palkhiwala. In addition, Alex Rogers will join the question-and-answer session. You can access our earnings release and a slide presentation that accompany this call on our investor relations website.

In addition, this call is being webcast on qualcomm.com, and a replay will be available on our website later today. During the call today, we will use non-GAAP financial measures as defining Regulation G, and you can find the related reconciliations to GAAP on our website. We will also make forward-looking statements, including projections and estimates of future events, business or industry trends, or business or financial results. Actual events or results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements.

Please refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent 10-K, which contain important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. And now, the comments from Qualcomm’s president and chief executive officer, Cristiano Amon.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Mauricio, and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. In fiscal Q2, we delivered non-GAAP revenues of $9.4 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.44 was above the high end of our guidance.

Revenues from our chipset business of $8 billion reflect strong premium tier demand for Android smartphones and continued momentum in automotive. Licensing business revenues were $1.3 billion. During the quarter, we also made significant progress on our leading technology and product roadmaps, as well as executing on our growth and diversification opportunities. Let me share some key highlights from the business.

As we drive intelligent computing everywhere, we’re enabling the ecosystem to develop and commercialize on-device gen AI applications across smartphones, next-generation PCs, XR devices, vehicles, industrial edge, robotics, networking, and more. To that end, we recently launched the Qualcomm AI Hub, a gateway for developers to enable at-scale commercialization of on-device AI applications. It features a library of approximately 100 pre-optimized AI models for devices powered by Snapdragon and Qualcomm platforms, delivering four times faster inferencing versus nonoptimized models. As AI expands rapidly from the cloud to devices, we are extremely well-positioned to capitalize on this growth opportunity, given our leadership position at the edge across technologies, including on-device AI.

In automotive, the Snapdragon digital chassis is the industry’s leading technology solution, and we’re pleased to announce that our design-win pipeline has increased to approximately $45 billion. We’re growing faster than the addressable market and remain on track to achieve more than $4 billion of automotive revenues in fiscal ’26. In premium and high-tier smartphones, our Snapdragon mobile platforms continue to set the bar for performance and on-device gen AI capabilities. Recently launched flagship Android devices powered by Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 are seeing strong demand globally, especially in China.

We are extending the most sought after 8 series capabilities, including on-device AI, to a broader range of flagship and high-tier smartphones with the new Snapdragon 8S Gen3 and Snapdragon 7 Plus Gen 3 mobile platforms, launching in the second half of 2024. In cellular modems, we have again established a new industry benchmark with the Snapdragon X80, the world’s most advanced 5G modem-RF system. The X80 supports 5G Advanced, the next era of 5G, in addition to direct-to-mobile, 3GPP-compliant satellite communications and leading Release 18 features. Additionally, our networking solutions continue to gain traction as the Wi-Fi 7 transition expands to the enterprise.

We are excited about the upcoming launches of next-generation Windows AI PCs powered by Snapdragon. The Snapdragon X Elite is the leader in performance on-device AI and power efficiency for the Windows ecosystem and is optimally positioned to lead the transition to true AI PCs. I’m also pleased to share that we recently expanded our compute portfolio with the Snapdragon X Plus platform, which is designed to address a broader range of device tiers. In XR, we’re seeing good momentum in augmented and virtual reality.

In particular, the Ray-Ban Meta glasses powered by our Snapdragon AR1 Gen 1 platform continue to gain traction with consumers. Additionally, the Meta Horizon OS running on Snapdragon is now open and available to third-party hardware makers. This is a significant milestone as it will expand the device ecosystem. Finally, at the embedded world conference in Germany, we announced two new solutions for the industrial IoT ecosystem, the Qualcomm QCC730 micro-power Wi-Fi SOC and the Qualcomm RB3 Gen 2 platform.

The QCC730 is specifically designed for IoT connectivity in battery power industrial, commercial, and consumer applications, featuring 88% lower power consumption than previous generations. And the RB3 Gen 2 platform is a complete hardware and software solution designed for a wide range of products, including various types of robots, drones, industrial-handheld devices, and more. The RB3 is supported by the recently announced AI Hub and also feature support for Qualcomm Linux, a comprehensive package of operating system, software, and developer tools for our IoT platforms. In summary, we’re very pleased with the continued progress on our growth and diversification strategy.

Beyond handsets, we have established leadership positions across automotive, XR, and networking, and we are well-positioned to do the same in PCs, industrial, and Edge AI. We’re optimistic about the opportunities ahead for the company and will continue to execute on our plan to deliver long-term growth and value for shareholders. I would now like to turn the call over to Akash.

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Cristiano, and good afternoon, everyone. I’ll start with our second fiscal quarter earnings. We are pleased to announce another quarter of strong non-GAAP results with revenues of $9.4 billion and EPS of $2.44, which was above the high end of our guidance range. QTL revenues of $1.3 billion and EBT margin of 71% were in line with our expectations.

QCT delivered revenues of $8 billion and EBT margin of 29%, which was at the high end of our guidance range, reflecting strength across handset and automotive. QCT handset revenues of $6.2 billion included the benefit of flagship Android smartphone launches powered by our Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 mobile platform. QCT IoT revenues increased 9% sequentially to $1.2 billion, which was slightly better than our expectations. We had another record quarter in QCT automotive, with revenues increasing by 35% on a year-over-year basis, reflecting increased content in new vehicle launches with our Snapdragon digital chassis product.

We returned $1.6 billion to stockholders during the quarter, including $731 million in stock repurchases and $895 million in dividends. During the quarter, we also announced an increase in our quarterly dividends from $0.80 to $0.85 per share, consistent with our commitment to dividend growth. Lastly, the sale of the restrained control system business successfully completes the divestitures of the nonarrival businesses related to our acquisition of Veoneer. We are very pleased with this acquisition, and the Arriver team is executing on the development of our computer vision and drive policy, ADAS software stack, targeting vehicle launches starting in late ’25.

Now, turning to guidance. Our forecast for global 3G, 4G, 5G handset units remains unchanged for calendar ’24. We estimate that global handset units will be flat to slightly up on a year-over-year basis. This includes expected growth of high single-digit to low double-digit percentage in 5G handsets.

For the third fiscal quarter, we are forecasting revenues of $8.8 billion to $9.6 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $2.15 to $2.35. In QTL, we estimate revenues of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion and EBT margins of 69% to 73%, reflecting normal seasonality for handset units. In QCT, we expect revenues of $7.5 billion to $8.1 billion, and EBT margins of 25% to 27%. Consistent with our previous comments, we anticipate QCT handset revenues to decline by mid single-digit percentage sequentially, reflecting a seasonal trend due to the absence of flagship handset launches in the quarter.

We expect QCT IoT revenues to grow sequentially by low to mid-single-digit percentage as we continue to see a gradual recovery from the macro factors impacting the industry. Following our record performance in the second fiscal quarter, we expect QCT automotive revenues to grow by low double-digit percentage quarter over quarter as the increase in our design-win pipeline continues to materialize into revenue. Lastly, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $2.2 billion. In closing, we are pleased with our execution and financial performance for the first half of the fiscal year.

Specifically, we saw year-over-year handset revenues from our Chinese OEM increase by greater than 40% in the first half of fiscal ’24, reflecting our strong competitive positioning and recovery of demand. Looking forward, our technology leadership positions us to continue to execute on our diversification strategy across IoT and automotive. In IoT, we look forward to normalization and demand across our customer base, exiting fiscal ’24. In addition, we’re excited about the launch of our next-generation AI PCs powered by our Snapdragon X Elite and X Plus platforms from all leading PC OEMs starting in mid ’24.

These PCs will deliver industry-leading processor performance, advanced on-device gen AI features, and extended battery life. In automotive, we are pleased that our design-win pipeline has increased from $30 billion in September 22 to approximately $45 billion, providing confidence in executing our long-term revenue targets. This concludes our prepared remarks. Back to you, Mauricio.

Mauricio Lopez-HodoyanVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Akash. Operator, we’re now ready for questions.

Questions & Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] One moment please for the first question from Matt Ramsay with Cowen.

Matt RamsayCowen and Company — Analyst

Thank you very much. Good afternoon, everybody. Cristiano, I wanted to ask you a question about sort of handset modem and RF architecture as we move into sort of the era of AI in handsets and mobile devices, where I think it’s likely that the compute system and the memory system of the phone take up more battery life potentially as we try to compute some of these applications for AI inference on the device. And I wonder if that — how that changes your potential opportunity for your modem business integrated with your RF business.

There was a — one of your competitors talked about a socket loss last night, and I think it went to you guys. I wonder if you might comment on how or why. But I think it’s a bigger picture question. As the compute subsystem of the phone puts pressure on the modem-RF, does that give you opportunities for further integration? Thanks.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Hello, Matt. Thanks for the question. Well, let me unpack this. I think as far as modern-RF, we believe we have a very competitive RF end portfolio, and we have been really delivering unique features across the modern RF ecosystem, especially on power.

It’s a general comment, not related to AI, but a general comment. I think as you look at AI running on devices and AI running on the cloud, modem becomes more important, especially things like latency of response or hybrid AI models has a new importance of real-time connectivity. So, we’re starting to see more and more the modem becoming more important. The real advantage for Qualcomm is not only on the modem-RF, even though I think we’re very proud of having the leadership position there, is the fact that we actually created the ability to run AI pervasive on devices without compromising battery life.

And that has been reflected within our NPU performance, both on phones, as well as PCs in cars. And I think that’s the key, I think, technology leadership position for AI, which is the best possible performance per watt. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Samik Chatterjee with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Samik ChatterjeeJPMorgan Chase and Company — Analyst

Hi. Thanks for the question. And maybe if I can start with Cristiano asking sort of you mentioned the strong performance you’re seeing in the China market. But maybe any more details in terms of just what you’re seeing in the market, relative to any specific numbers that you can share? Because there’s been a lot of conflicting data points about the market being strong in 1G and then maybe taking a breather.

So, curious to understand what you’re seeing on the ground there in terms of the China market. Also, it’s always been sort of a leader in adopting new technology and seems like the AI phones are doing well. So, how much of the recent strength do you attribute to AI-led upgrade cycle versus a normal market rebound? And I have a quick follow-up after that. Thank you.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Samik. So, what moves the market for us is premium and high tier. And I think what we’re seeing in the China market is that the mix is improving. As the market has stabilized it and returned to some form of normality, what we really liked is that within that market, premium and high tier as a percentage continue to increase.

And that’s actually what’s driving the results. And we are seeing the very first instances of, you know, on-device AI and gen AI being launched in premium devices, and that has been resonating well with the consumer. So, it’s a positive trend that we like. The other color I’d like to add is we have not seen signs of weakness in the Android premium market in China, especially with our OEMs.

So a lot of the strength really coming from premium devices from Xiaomi, Honor, OPPO, OnePlus, Vivo. And I think Huawei entering that market actually increased the overall TAM of premium Android.

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Maybe Samik to add a couple quick data points on top. As we mentioned in our prepared remarks, first half of fiscal ’24, our revenue from Chinese OEMs grew by greater than 40% year over year. And that is also reflected in our third quarter guidance. So, it’s a trend that’s holding up as we look forward.

And then, from a roadmap perspective, as you look into our new premium tier launches coming up later this year, in addition to gen AI, we’ll have our Oryon custom CPU cores coming in as well. So, we’re very excited about the roadmap.

Samik ChatterjeeJPMorgan Chase and Company — Analyst

Got it. And for my follow-up, maybe, Akash, it’s more for you. I mean, when you talked about the seasonality into the June quarter, hence, its seasonality is sort of the typical seasonality that you see. And the aggregate results or revenue being better than seasonal is really being driven by autos here with the low double-digit growth that you talked about.

Clearly, very strong sort of pipeline of wins. But how sustainable is this sort of pace of improvement quarter over quarter in terms of revenue? Just want to get a sense if this is when we start to see more sort of inflection in auto revenues given the strong pipeline you have and that drives better seasonal results going forward even into the September quarter. Thank you.

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, from an automotive perspective, as you know, we’ve given out a target of greater than $4 billion revenue in fiscal ’26. And what you are seeing is really our design-win pipeline materializing into revenue on our way to that number. And so, that’s the framework as to how I think about it. Two key data points on our design-win pipeline.

So, as you’ll recall, the last number we had given was $30 billion in September, about 18 months ago, September 22. The updated number that we just provided is $45 billion of design wins. So, obviously, a very significant increase. And off note, within that, approximately one-third is driven by ADAS.

So, we’re seeing a tremendous success now in ADAS, and that’s adding to our design win pipeline.

Operator

Our next question is from Mike Walkley with Canaccord Genuity. Please proceed with your question.

Mike WalkleyCanaccord Genuity — Analyst

Great, thanks. And maybe just building off, you know, the 40% increase in shipments to the Chinese OEMs holding, you know, through the June quarter guidance just based on your expanding on device AI portfolio? Is this level of demand sustainable into the back half of the calendar year? Or that’s another way — do you expect the smartphone market to have kind of normal seasonal trends after the June quarter dip?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, as you recall Mike, we had said earlier that we expect the third quarter to be the low quarter from a financial perspective, just given the seasonality of our business. That still holds true. So, as we go from third to fourth quarter and then into fiscal first quarter, which is the December quarter, we expect growth as new launches of phones happen across all major OEMs.

And as I said earlier, we’re going to have the launch of our Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 chip as well. And we’re extremely excited about what that chip does and the launches that will come through that chip later in the year. Specifically, as you think about fourth quarter, we expect the EPS growth from third to fourth quarter to be consistent with fiscal ’23, and then we’ll grow beyond that into the December quarter.

Mike WalkleyCanaccord Genuity — Analyst

Great, that’s very helpful. Maybe just for a quick follow-up on the IoT business, it sounds like March is the bottom as you laid out. Can you maybe update us on the three segments, just what you’re seeing in terms of the inventory correction?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, so, Mike, we talked about December fiscal first quarter as the bottom quarter. We grew from that into March by 9% sequential growth, which was better than our expectations. And then, now, we’re guiding low to mid single-digit growth into the September quarter. So, as we’d outlined at the beginning of the year, we would see improvement through the year, and that trend is holding.

And we expect it to hold in the fourth fiscal quarter as well. In terms of different parts within IoT, consumer is more aligned with phones. So, we’ve seen that recover faster. And then, the industrial networking is consistent with what our peers are seeing within those industries.

And the recovery timeline is aligned with that. If you’re going to step back and think about our business there, we’re pretty excited about new products that are coming out. So, Cristiano talked about the PC set of products coming out later this year. Device launch coming out later this year.

But then in addition to that, we also have a new product in industrial and Wi-Fi 7 that will drive growth into this IoT segment as well.

Operator

Our next question comes from Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. Please proceed with your question.

Stacy RasgonBernstein Research — Analyst

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. For my first question, just on the PC outlook, it does sound like devices are going to be available for purchase in the back half. So like how much PC is actually in the Q3 outlook and what should we expect for the PC in the numbers like into the second half and beyond? Like when does PC actually get big enough for us to see it?

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Stacy. Thanks for the question. We have a lot of product momentum right now, and especially with all the launches, I would encourage everybody to go watch the Microsoft Build event, especially what is happening with on-device AI. There’s a lot of product momentum in launches as those devices start ramping up in volume.

And since a lot of them are gonna be back-to-school, it’s going to be more of a fiscal ’25 event in terms of being material within the IoT segment. Anything you’d like to add, Akash?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Just maybe in our June quarter guidance, there isn’t material PC volume forecasted in our numbers.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, one thing we’re going to do. Sorry, just real quick. One thing we’re going to do —

Stacy RasgonBernstein Research — Analyst

Yup.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

We provided an update on auto this quarter. We’re going to provide a more detailed update next quarter on PC, especially as we’re going to have those devices out launched.

Stacy RasgonBernstein Research — Analyst

That’s helpful. For my follow-up, I wanted to ask about Huawei revenue. So, in the Q, it says that you’re not expecting any further product revenue from Huawei beyond the end of the calendar year. So, I know it’s only low-end 4G that’s left, but like how big is that now in the numbers? And how much of that will be going away into the calendar year?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, so, Stacy, if you look at Huawei, as you’ve seen, they’ve launched multiple tiers of 5G devices already with their own chips. And clearly, we don’t participate in those devices. What we’re shipping at this point is the license that we have is for 4G chips. And as you rightly pointed out, it’s at the low end of the spectrum.

What we outlined in the Q is since the devices will eventually transition all to 5G, we don’t expect any revenue from Huawei product business in 2025.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Caso with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead with your question.

Chris CasoWolfe Research — Analyst

Yeah, thank you. Good afternoon. A question is on QTL. And, you know, it sounds like that you’re starting to see some degree of improvement, you know, particularly among the China OEMs in the QCT business.

But that has so thus far hasn’t translated to the QTL business. Can you talk about sort of the lag between the recovery in those segments and, you know, what your level of optimism or not is for sort of breaking out of this range in the QTL business?

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, as you know well, QTL business is really driven by the size of the market. And there is a cap on the total ASPs up to which the percent royalty rate applies. So, as we’ve seen, the benefit on the QCT side is a lot driven by more units at the premium tier, especially above $400 in price.

It’s not something that benefits the QTL business directly the way the royalty program is structured. So, that’s the disconnect between the two.

Chris CasoWolfe Research — Analyst

Yeah, that’s helpful. As a follow-up, you know, with regard to the AI handsets, a lot of the questions that we receive on this is sort of why and, you know, what are the applications — what are the reasons for a consumer to upgrade their handsets to AI. You know, Cristiano, you talked about the developer hub that you’re running, you know, perhaps, that gives you some insight into what the developers are doing, what’s going on in the pipeline that will drive these AI handset sales.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Look, it’s a great question. And I want to step back and say, in general, I think AI is going to benefit all the devices. I think AI, when it extends to running on device, besides the benefit of working alongside the cloud, it has completely new use cases, privacy, security, latency, cost, personalization, etc. Here’s how you should look into this.

In the same way, in the same way that when the smartphone started, you have a handful of apps that eventually grew to thousands and hundreds of thousands of apps, and that was really the user experience. I think we’re in the very early stage, and you’re starting to see some of those use cases, and you have exactly that moment. Some of the phones have 10 apps, you know, and they’re growing. And one of the reasons we have the AI Hub, because this is a new, I think, moment for the industry, it works a little bit different.

It’s different than how you think about the traditional app store. You have many models, many in the open-source models. They can run on the device, and they can be attached or built into any application. So, I think what’s we’re starting to see is a lot of developer interest.

As we said in the prepared remarks, we have over 100 different models, from — models from OpenAI to Llama 3 and many that are quantized and optimized to the NPU. When they are optimized using the tool, they run four times faster than the model without optimization. And those models and those use cases started to be implemented in apps, whether it’s an image or associated with a camera, it’s associated with language. So, we’re at the beginning of that transition.

We really like what we see because it’s really creating reason for people to buy a new device. It’s going to be the same on PCs. It’s going to be the same as they come to cars as well and industrial. So, it’s an exciting tailwind, I think, for our strategy of actually driving, computing, and connectivity at the edge.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Tim Arcuri with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Tim ArcuriUBS — Analyst

Thanks a lot. I wanted to ask about the mix of the business. And, you know, as you said, Akash, China is holding up quite well. It’s up 40% year over year in the fiscal first half.

But it’s within shouting distance of kind of where it peaked on a quarterly basis back in fiscal ’22, when they were obviously overbuilding at that time. So, can you talk a little bit about what’s happening there? How much of the year-over-year growth is units versus pricing?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, Tim. As we said earlier, it’s really the biggest benefit we are seeing is the mix being stronger. And as you know, we are strong — competitive positioning is stronger at the higher tiers. And so, that’s helping us.

The second is when you look at generation over generation of chips, especially at the premium tier, are getting more capable as more — not just gen AI but other additional capabilities are being integrated into the chips. And there’s strong competition between the OEMs, so there’s demand for those capabilities. So, we’re seeing that come through as well. And it’s really a combination of those things that is driving strength versus a unit upside.

The unit size we are seeing is very much aligned with the market forecast, which says flat market versus last year.

Tim ArcuriUBS — Analyst

Got it, OK. And then, just as a quick follow-up, how sustainable are these RF wins that you’ve, you know, obviously gotten for this upcoming phone? Should we consider that as kind of part of the modem so when the modem goes away, the RF wins also go away?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

So, of course, we’ll not talk about any specific customer here, but I think I’d go back to the very first question that Cristiano answered. The key thing for us is the modem-RF architecture and how when we develop the end to end together, it creates an advantage for us in terms of performance, in terms of time-to-market for our customers as well. And that’s a sustainable advantage that will stay going forward for us.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Tal Liani with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

Tal LianiBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

Hi, guys. When I look at your numbers, you bid the numbers mainly on headsets. It’s both for QTL and QCT, of course. And I’m trying to understand how much of the outperformance is just China versus the rest of the world.

So, when you look at the rest of the world, what were the trends when it comes to your QCT shipments and QTL? And then within China, where are we in the recovery cycle, right? There is ongoing growth, but there is — what we’re seeing now in the first half of the year is mainly recovery from last year. So, are you now at normal levels, and from here, it should trend normally based on demand? Or are we still recovering from the low of last year? Thanks.

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, so a couple of comments. First is on the overall picture across OEMs. So, China saw a very significant benefit, but we had strength across other parts of the Android ecosystem as well. And so, it’s not something that was isolated to one or two OEMs.

It was a broad trend that is just representative of the overall market and the makeshift that we discussed in the overall market. On your second question, as we think about our strength in handsets, we are very optimistic that as we go forward, this is a trend that holds forward. This is not about inventory. As I said earlier, the units are actually aligned with the size of the market, and the trends are really driven by mix and increased content.

Tal LianiBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

Got it, OK. Second question, just on AI, I don’t know if it’s possible to quantify at all, but if you look at the non-AI QCT contribution versus an AI QCT contribution, when AI is included in the mix, is there a number where it comes to the increase in content per phone? Does it mean that the semiconductor there is going to be more expensive, higher price for you? So, even if the market doesn’t grow, can you grow just by the market shifting to AI? That’s theoretical, but I’m trying to isolate the impact of AI. Thanks.

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

A lot of people [Inaudible] but let me try to give you maybe an answer that will help explain this. In first step, a lot of the increase content in ASP on QCT chipsets, including premium, has been driven by the compute part. And it’s more performance on the compute, CPU, GPU, the NPU. Second, the NPU has been the largest area of silicon growth in those chips.

So, generation over generation, one of the largest improvements has been the NPU for AI. And AI is driving a lot of silicon content in those devices because they expected computational capability to run those models. The benefit financially, I think, is going to come probably in the way that you’re starting to see the beginning of it right now, which improves the mix. Users want to buy a more capable phone that can run AI.

So, it drives the market toward a richer mix of higher improvement tier. Share gains, and then an upgrade cycle as people want to buy a new phone. That’s how we should think about it in phones. PC is a little different.

As we enter the PC, I think the AI and the ability to run on-device AI better than any of our peers on a laptop, I think, is going to be a tailwind to that capability. Car builds more value on top of the platforms that are being commercialized in design win with the increase of the pipeline, especially in many of those platforms. We can do a softer upgrade to be able to run gen AI on those vehicles. So, I think that’s how this is going to materialize for Qualcomm.

The last part of my answer is industrial, which is a new area that we’re trying to upgrade to higher performance, from microcontrollers to high-performance computing connectivity, I think Edge AI is proving to be a key attribute of this market going forward.

Operator

Our final question is from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your question.

C.J. MuseCantor Fitzgerald — Analyst

Yeah, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I guess I was hoping you could speak to QCT gross margins. They impressively held flat despite revenues down 5%.

And I guess the real question here is not just, you know, how you did it this quarter, but how should we be thinking about as you bring on nonhandset revenues to the model, what incremental gross margins might look like for QCT, particularly as we think about the AIPC and IoT, as well as, you know, auto, given that growing backlog.

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, C.J. Yeah, I think the first couple of quarters of this fiscal year, we’ve seen — definitely seen strength in margin, and it’s driven by the return mix that we’ve discussed on the call. What we’re guiding for the third quarter is a sequential decline, again, reflecting kind of lack of flagship launches in the quarter. No change to what we’ve said on gross margins before.

We’ve given a range, and we’ve been operating at the high end of the range, but no kind of fundamentally change on the framework of it going forward.

C.J. MuseCantor Fitzgerald — Analyst

Great. As a quick follow-up, on the auto side, you know, you talked about the higher backlog, reiterated the 4 billion plus. Should we be thinking about, you know, kind of amortizing that 26-plus percent growth equally into fiscal ’25, ’26? Or might that come in sooner with faster growth into ’25?

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, I mean, obviously, we’re not kind of guiding quarters that far out at this point. But if you kind of take the current run rate and extended forward toward the 4 billion target, kind of a generally a slope — slope growth increase between the two data points is a reasonable way of thinking about it.

Operator

Thank you. That concludes today’s question-and-answer session. Mr. Amon, do you have anything further to add before adjourning the call?

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, just a few comments. I think we’re incredibly pleased with our technology and product roadmap evolution. And we’re really looking forward to our next-generation PCs with Snapdragon. As I said during the call, I encourage everyone to look at the announcement from Microsoft Build and how that’s going to drive much more AI into the Qualcomm platform.

And I was just going to leave you all with a thought. One great thing about the execution of the company, every time we enter a new market or we set ourselves to go do a new market, and we end up building a very strong position. We went from mobile to RF front end, we became No. 1.

Same thing when we went to Wi-Fi. Automotive, it was something that we had ambition to build as part of the diversification. I think we’re quickly becoming the industry partner of choice. We are — believe that there’s a long-term opportunity with virtual reality, augmented reality.

And now, we have the absolute majority of the designs. And with PC, we clearly build the leading platform, and we have the product momentum that we hopefully will translate into financial in the coming years. So, I just wanted to state that we feel good about the company technology capabilities and how we’re driving growth and diversification for shareholders. Thank you very much for the support.

Thank you to all our employees. And I’m looking forward to talk to you in the next call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference call. [Operator signoff]

Duration: 0 minutes

Call participants:

Mauricio Lopez-HodoyanVice President, Investor Relations

Cristiano AmonPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Akash PalkhiwalaChief Financial Officer

Matt RamsayCowen and Company — Analyst

Samik ChatterjeeJPMorgan Chase and Company — Analyst

Mike WalkleyCanaccord Genuity — Analyst

Stacy RasgonBernstein Research — Analyst

Chris CasoWolfe Research — Analyst

Tim ArcuriUBS — Analyst

Tal LianiBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

C.J. MuseCantor Fitzgerald — Analyst

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