The total open interest of any asset can help to narrow down what traders are doing when it comes to a coin, and Dogecoin is no different. As with any metric, a rise or fall within a period of time can be significant as traders choose to take or not take positions in that asset. In Dogecoin’s case, there has been a decline in the open interest over the last week, and this could have some implications for the DOGE price going forward.
Dogecoin Open Interest Falls 24%
According to data from Coinglass, the Dogecoin open interest has fallen 24% in the last week alone. This figure comes from July 18 when the open interest hit $707 million, going into August, with a total open interest value of $420 million.
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This decline in the Dogecoin open interest follows the market crash that has rocked cryptocurrencies, eventually sending the DOGE price below $0.09 by Monday. It shows a drastic reduction in the number of open positions, suggesting a reduction in interest.
This is not the lowest that the Dogecoin open interest has been this year. However, it is interesting due to the current condition of the market. For example, the Dogecoin price has erased most of its gains from last year, pushing it back toward February 2024 lows.
The correlation between the Dogecoin price and the open interest is now more glaring with this crash. In the time that the open interest has fallen 24%, the Dogecoin price has seen around a 40% decrease in price.
What Does Historical Data Say?
With the correlation between open interest and the Dogecoin price, using historical data could help to narrow down what might be on the horizon for Dogecoin. For example, the last time that the Dogecoin open interest saw a sharp drop, the price also followed.
In March 2024, the DOGE open interest peaked at $2.21 billion, and the price saw its highest level so far this year as well. Following this, there was a crash in open interest and the DOGE price went from $0.22 to $0.18 alongside it, all in the month of March.
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This suggests that for a recovery to begin for the Dogecoin price, a rise in the open interest would be a good development. If the open interest flattens out from here, then the Dogecoin price could enter a phase of consolidation that could see it tread around $0.08 for a while.
Mainly, however, a recovery for the DOGE price would be imminent if the Bitcoin price were to begin rising again. In this case, a market-wide rally would see Dogecoin follow, breaking the current bearish trend.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com