Savers have benefited from investing in a certificate of deposit (CD) over the past couple of years. Many CDs currently pay 5% yields, making them a fantastic place to store money with a near-guaranteed return.
However, the Federal Reserve estimates it’ll cut the federal funds rate once later this year and make multiple cuts next year, which could dramatically lower CD yields.
Here’s how rate cuts could affect CDs and what to do about it.
How a rate cut could affect CD rates
The good news is that if you have money in a CD, a Fed rate cut won’t impact your current CD rate. CD rates are fixed for your entire term.
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For example, if you open a 5% CD with a 2-year term tomorrow, you’re nearly guaranteed to earn that interest rate on the amount you’ve deposited. The only way you wouldn’t earn the 5% rate is if you take your money out early. In that case, you may pay a penalty fee of 90 days to 180 days of simple interest, reducing your CD interest rate.
But if the Fed cuts interest rates soon, yields for new CDs will likely fall. Policymakers estimate they could make one 25 basis point (0.25%) rate cut this year, potentially pushing CD rates down by as much by the end of 2024.
And with four potential cuts next year, CD rates could drop by a total of 1.25 percentage points by the end of 2025. This means 5% CD rates could soon be a thing of the past, replaced by rates no higher than 3.75%.
What you should do now
Depending on your financial needs, there are two steps to consider before interest rates fall. Here are a few suggestions.
1. Do nothing
This is the best approach if you currently have money in a CD. There’s nothing you need to change, and there is no decision to be made if the Fed cuts interest rates. Leave your money in the account, and you’ll earn the guaranteed rate you were promised when you opened it.
2. Open a new CD before rates go down
If you want to earn a nearly risk-free 5% yield on your money, it might pay to open a CD soon. There could be multiple rate cuts before the end of next year.
This means that 5% CD rates could disappear. So, if you have money you really want to put into a CD, now is the time to do it.
There’s nothing wrong with waiting a little longer to put your money into a CD. Just know that you’ll probably get a lower rate than what’s currently available.
Don’t forget this
While many CDs offer high yields, they aren’t great places to store cash you might need soon.
You have to commit your money to being locked up for a period or pay a penalty to take it out early. Some no-penalty CDs exist, but they usually pay lower interest rates and can be harder to find.
Before opening the CD, ensure you don’t need the cash for upcoming purchases or emergencies. If you think you’ll need it, put it into a high-yield savings account for easy access.
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